R.Politik CEO and founder, Tatiana Stanovaya, is regularly quoted by major Russian and international media outlets. She is available for commentary in Russian and English.

The article for Foreign Policy

What the West Gets Wrong About Russia’s Intentions in Ukraine

Moscow never wanted an annexation—it just wanted a bargaining chip. Understanding that is the key to settling the conflict once and for all.

The Article for POLITICO

No, Putin Doesn’t Like Impeachment

There’s one thing the Kremlin wants even more than sowing chaos in the United States: Keeping Trump in the White House.

Russia is ready to pay a price to maintain the Trump buffer, including enduring further rounds of Western economic sanctions. The rest of the U.S. political class, both Democratic and Republican, represents a long-term strategic threat to Russia and its geopolitical interests. Thus, regardless of whatever headaches Trump may create for the Kremlin, he will always seem like the lesser evil. Not surprisingly, whatever happens to Trump, Putin publicly supports him. But now, there is more scrutiny than ever on Trump’s foreign policy conduct, and he will likely not be able to operate in secret.

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Commentary for Foreign Policy

Trump’s Next Envoy to Russia Has a Mountain to Climb

First John Sullivan must get through Congress, which wants to question him about Ukraine. Then he must deal with a hostile Moscow.

Dispatching such a senior ranking diplomat to the job sends a positive signal, some experts say. “The fact that Trump has chosen someone from such a high position to be ambassador is seen in Moscow as a welcome sign [that] the president is ready to invest more in bilateral relations and that there is political will going forward,” said Tatiana Stanovaya, the founder of the political consultancy R.Politik and a scholar at the Carnegie Moscow Center. “Often we hear that it doesn’t matter who is the ambassador, but I think for [the] Russian-American relationship, it is very important,” Stanovaya said. “The tone and behavior of the ambassador can have a big effect in shaping relations.” READ MORE
Commentary for El Pais

Ucrania abre la puerta a que haya elecciones en el Este controlado por los separatistas

Kiev, Moscú y los secesionistas prorrusos firman un plan con condiciones para la celebración de comicios que puede descongelar las negociaciones de paz

La analista Tatiana Stanovaya, de R.Politik, señala que el plan acordado todavía es muy abstracto. Y que no será fácil, además, que se cumpla el cronograma para la celebración de comicios. “Ucrania y Rusia persiguen dos objetivos distintos con este plan: para el Kremlin el fin último es que se produzcan elecciones en el Donbás; y lo más rápido posible para mantener su presencia allí indirectamente; estoy segura de que ganarían los prorrusos. También para tratar de que se le levanten las sanciones occidentales. Para Kiev, en cambio, el acuerdo es un principio para empezar a hablar de seguridad e influencia en la zona, para volver a sentarse a conversar”, dice la experta, investigadora también del centro Carnegie de Moscú. “Además, esa convocatoria de elecciones sería un verdadero reto para Zelenski no fácil de aceptar para la clase política ucrania”, sigue.
Commentary for The Washington Times

Putin smiles as Ukraine gets entangled in U.S. scandal, but sees no wrongdoing by Trump

Mr. Putin has other reasons to feel content with the unfolding political dramas in Kyiv and Washington, said Tatiana Stanovaya, head of the political analysis firm R.Politik and a specialist on the Kremlin. Not least of these is the downfall of Kurt Volker, the State Department’s special envoy for Ukraine, who has long been vilified by the Kremlin. “For the Kremlin, Volker was a thorn in the side,” said Ms. Stanovaya. “He seemed less like a moderator than a participant in the conflict on the side of Poroshenko.” “The European Union would be within its rights to take offense [at Mr. Zelensky’s words],” Denis Denisov, the head of the Moscow-based Institute for Peace Initiatives and Conflict Studies, told Russian media. “This can be compared to someone discussing relatives behind their backs. No one likes this, and it will almost certainly reflect on the personal dynamics between the leaders of the countries.” But Mr. Zelensky’s problems aren’t all good news for the Kremlin. Ms. Stanovaya said Mr. Putin will now be concerned that the transcripts of his conversations with Mr. Trump, a possible target for Democratic lawmakers in the upcoming impeachment inquiry, could also be published. Mr. Putin has held 11 phone calls with Mr. Trump since he entered the White House. The two leaders have met in person several times, often with only a translator present. The Kremlin insisted last week that Moscow would have to give its permission for the transcripts of the conversations to be released. “Putin feels psychological discomfort about the fact that one day his conversations [with Mr. Trump] could be published,” said Ms. Stanovaya. “If you are always thinking that everything you say could be made public, then you are limited in your opportunities to influence your counterpart.” READ MORE 
Commentary for Libération

Russie : le comédien Oustinov relâché

Par Veronika Dorman
Un nouveau rapport de force entre le pouvoir et la société semble en effet s’esquisser, mais le dernier rétropédalage n’est «ni un dégel, ni une libéralisation», tempère Tatiana Stanovaya, du think tank R.Politik. «C’est le signe qu’il n’y a pas, au sein du pouvoir, de vision unifiée sur la manière de gérer la situation avec les contestations et leur répression à Moscou, qu’il réagit, puis corrige ses décisions. Quant à la société, elle se mobilise de plus en plus parce qu’elle a évolué, mais aussi parce que les siloviki [organes de l’appareil policier et judiciaire, ndlr] se sont lâchés et dépassent les bornes», sans même plus prendre la peine de faire semblant de convoquer la loi, dans le cas des derniers procès à Moscou.
Commentary for Los Angeles Times

Putin seems to be enjoying the Trump impeachment show

Commentary for The Moscow Times

‘The Dragon Has Unclenched Its Jaws’: 25,000 Rally in Moscow to Demand Release of Jailed Protesters

A movement for fair elections that began in July has turned into a protest against the crackdown.
Commentary for La Croix

Les Russes se mobilisent contre les condamnations

Habituellement silencieux ou fidèles au pouvoir, des professeurs et des prêtres ont rejoint d’autres professions qui dénoncent la sévérité des condamnations des participants aux manifestations estivales en faveur d’élections libres.
  • Olivier Tallès,
La probable libération de l’acteur Pavel Oustinov porterait un coup à la politique répressive défendue par le camp des silovikis, ces fonctionnaires issus des services de sécurité et de police qui ont souvent l’oreille de Vladimir Poutine au détriment des civils. « Par leur approche rigide consistant à étouffer à n’importe quel prix toute contestation, ils ont réussi à s’aliéner des groupes sociaux qui étaient loyaux au régime, constate Tatiana Stanovaya, du groupe de réflexion R.Politik. La décision du parquet de libérer finalement Pavel Oustinov montre que le Kremlin ne peut pas totalement ignorer les protestations. »
The Russia-Ukraine conflict: Hopeful signs of rapprochement have dissipated
Tatyana Stanovaya on why the recent Russian-Ukrainian rapprochement has reverted to more hostility Over the past three months, Russian-Ukrainian relations have been on a roller coaster; in summer 2019, we witnessed an unexpected detente, culminating in an exchange of prisoners of war in September after four years of stagnant enmity. Then, just two weeks after the first long-overdue success, a deep disappointment followed. On September 18, the Trilateral Contact Group on Ukraine failed to agree on a roadmap for the implementation of the so-called Steinmeier Formula, thereby postponing the prospect of a full-fledged Normandy Four summit in Paris. The carefully opened window of opportunity seems to have been slammed shut again. And the recent Ukraine-Gate in the U.S., which has seriously undermined President Volodymyr Zelensky’s position, will obviously be used by Moscow against the inexperienced Ukrainian leader. READ MORE