R.Politik CEO and founder, Tatiana Stanovaya, is regularly quoted by major Russian and international media outlets. She is available for commentary in Russian and English.

Looking Beyond 2018: Putin and the Technocrats

The 2018 Russian presidential election will be the beginning of Vladimir Putin’s presumed final act as he seeks to ascend to the pantheon of Russia’s great historical figures. But as Putin loses interest in some of the more down-to-earth details of government, the Kremlin is testing new models of technocratic rule in order to sustain the regime.

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Sure of Re-Election, Putin Barely Appears on Campaign Trail

Commentary for Bloomberg.com

“It’s a very strange campaign because Putin sees the election as a harmful thing that distracts him from his real task’’ of running the country, said Tatiana Stanovaya, an independent political analyst. “He’s not interested in what voters care about.’’

Struggling with a cold for much of the campaign, Putin attended few election events and, as in previous contests, dodged televised debates with his opponents. Meanwhile, state broadcasters lavished coverage on presidential visits to Russia’s regions.

With two days to go before the vote, the Kremlin Friday announced Putin had already ordered his staff to draft policy decrees covering the next term.

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Journée noire de la Bourse russe face aux nouvelles sanctions

Commentary for Le Figaro

Pour Tatiana Stanovaya, directrice du groupe d’experts R.Politik, « le Kremlin va chercher en premier à protéger ceux qui, aux yeux de Poutine, apparaissent
comme les piliers du régime, soit le gaz, le pétrole et les banques ». Mais d’un autre côté, la protection s’effectuera sur un principe politique, pour montrer à l’Occident que la pression fait face à une résistance. Une lutte va se dérouler
sur la question de qui a droit à la protection de l’État, car ses ressources financières sont très limitées, tout comme les instruments. « En fin de compte, cela bénéficiera aux Siloviki (dirigeants des structures de sécurité de l’État, NDLR) qui poussent vers une ligne isolationniste », précise Tatiana Stanovaya.

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Rotating the Elite: The Kremlin’s New Personnel Policy

Whatever changes 2018 and 2024 bring to Russia’s leadership, the broader political system will become increasingly depersonalized, making it—rather than the president—the source of stability.

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